Already “On the Clock” themselves, HC Dirk Koetter and GM Jason Licht begin 2018 on a HOT SEAT; and drafted accordingly

Jason Licht probably had every Running Back, DL and DB lined up in order in his head well before the draft even started. Dirk Koetter and Licht both knew their respected positions in the TEAMS  future just the same: Starting the season in the hottest position possible after having been given a reprieve from their anti-climatic 9-7 to 5-11 free fall when franchise expectations were at the highest in years.

It was a given, there would be no trading up and giving up picks to get a kicker, not even close. For the record, the picking of Agquayo wasn’t completely without merit. He was the most accurate kicker in the history of NCAA football, for a major program in a conference that sends many players to the NFL, for a team with a history of losing games because of a bad kicker.

But the biggest problem with the move was the Bucs were more than just a Kicker away from turning their cellar dwelling around.  Far more than just one player at ANY position.

So Licht and Koetter deserve even more credit for this draft, because they could have played it SUPER SAFE and just took what they had available: #7, and #38… then the 4th round where you can still sometimes land a starter if your good.

Instead of staying put, they put their coaching lives on the line and gave up No. 7 to Buffalo who was ready to invest in a QB, exactly what the Bucs were hoping for, a desperate QB hungry team with extra picks to spare.

Now armed with 53 and 56 as well as 38, the Bucs took their prized RB, got a Corner they coveted and entered the 3rd round to get an offensive lineman they can groom. Looking at the draft, the talk for the Bucs was how to get a DL, RB, CB, or OL.

They got them all.

For Licht it makes up for a few mistakes made here and there, but overall Jason Licht has been a solid GM for Tampa Bay. Even the immortal Rich McKay made mistakes; more of a talent finder, less of a Dollars $ cents guy; Licht is more compared to his predecessor who was fired along with HC Raheem Morris.

But Morris wasn’t the problem, the Bucs failed Morris, Raheem did not fail Tampa Bay. The Buccaneers immediately went out and spent money in Free Agency as soon as Raheem was replaced, the GM who did the hiring and drafting and cut ties with Doug Williams, perhaps for the last time with the Tampa Bay organization…Mark Dominik held onto draft picks and free agency mistakes FAR, FAR too long.

Give credit where its due.. this regime cuts ties with players who are a wrong fits. And while it will be years before anyone can grade this 2018 draft.. the immediate effects are positive from Round 1 on.

Jason Licht’s 1st Round NFL Draft trade was greatest value swap of the day for Tampa Bay Buccaneer GM

It made up for the ‘moving up to draft a kicker’ fiasco that almost cost Jason Licht his job. Instead, Licht took an offer from the Bills to move down from 7 to 12 after the 3 best impact players Tampa Bay were interested in were all gone. For the 5 spots Buffalo moved up, it paid dearly, two prime 2nd round picks at NO. 53 and 56, giving the Bucs 4 potential starters for next year.

Here are some players taken aproximately between no. 50 to 70 over the last decade:

Alvin Kamara RB New Orleans, Ali Marpet OL Bucs, Tyler Lockett WR

Imagine getting a free Ali Marpet for getting the same player you wanted anyways

Seattle, Yanick Ngakoue DE Jacksonville (probowl) over the last 3 years.

 

In 2014 with time to develop, three WR were taken from 53-63; Devante Adams Green Bay, Allen Robinson KC, and Jarvis Landry, Miami Dolphins. In 2013 Travis

Of course it all relies on your GM finding a GEM. If todays pick turns out to be a Le’veon Belll

Kelce was taken with the 63rd pick in the 2nd round, the ultimate steal may be pick #48 Pittsburgh Steeler RB Le’veon Bell.

The NFL has a value system to the draft, and there are different ways of weighing that value. One of the most down to earth approaches is the money value system   that Chase Stewart created for Football Perspective. As reported by Tampa Bay Times staff writer Thomas Bassinger, the Bucs gave up $1.00 and got back $1.67, more value than any other draft drade on draft day #1.

Going back farther: Lavante David, Randall Cobb, Carlos Dunlap, Sean Lee, Golden Tate, LeSean McCoy, Calais Campbell. Or of course, it could turn into another Roberto “Oh No” Aguayo; Lets hope not for Jason Licht’s sake

It ALL ADDS UP to Irony- Jason Licht: “This franchise needs a new face”, yes…for yours.

You can add it up, and you can figure it out, its not hard.

This team was supposed to make the playoffs, it was supposed to grow from last years 9-7 Bucs team that came very close to failing if not for Jameis Winston grabbing the Bucs by the horns and pulling them up for a win.

At the heart of the Bucs Jameis Winston led franchise, the coaching of Dirk Koetter. Anyone who knows me, knows that I support continuity.
No, not the Apple feature on newer Macs, the kind the Packers have with Mike McCarthy at coach, or the Steelers with 3 coaches since 1969. But the great Derrick Brooks, Warren Sapp and John Lynch all taught us… The Tape doesn’t lie. “the eye in the sky, does NOT lie!”

Continue reading “It ALL ADDS UP to Irony- Jason Licht: “This franchise needs a new face”, yes…for yours.”

Roberto Aguayo cutting an example of Licht over “Rock Star”

Coined the “Rock Star” GM by the ever so aptly naming machine known as JoeBucsFan.com, Mark Dominik drafted some very good players, some of whom like Gerald McCoy and Lavonte David to name a few. But it was the mistakes, the errors that doomed Dominik, maybe not so much for making them but for how long he stayed with them.

” There was a Rock Star here before me? “

Fast Forward to the Anti-Rock Star Jason Licht who jumps in his pool after wins, and isnt afraid to make the big deal to get That Player, aka His Guy.

Roberto Aguayo was his guy. To steal a McKayism, The Most accurate kicker in NCAA collegiate football history, well that kicker is kaput. One year almost to the day from when it all came apart for Aguayo, he repeated his ill fortune and came out for the first pre-season game of the year and stunk the place up with his kicks.

To be fair the extra point he missed vs Cincinnati went straight as an arrow, just that it wasn’t supposed to: if your standing on the right hash marks it has to curve in a bit. Bengals kickers Randy Bullock and Jake Elliot had no problems, but then this is a broken record with the excuses we’ve had to make for Aguayo, who is now the Chicago Bears problem, and he can be consoled     by Mike Glennon.

 

No one should be surprised if Aguayo succeeds at kicking in the NFL once he gets a fresh start, and NFL kickers will re-adjust to the new kicking paradigm. But bad luck of having to start a pro career when the NFL went all Belichik rule crazy, rather than have Aguayo cost the Bucs games and perhaps a shot at the playoffs, Jason Licht did what he always does when one of his moves goes south.

He sends them south down the highway, like a rock star, only, not.

 

 

EXTRA:  WHAT HAPPENED TO AGUAYO?

If you want to know what happened to Aguayo I think the answer is simple, bad timing. No, I don’t mean bad timing of his kicks. I mean bad timing joining the NFL right at the time the league changed the rules to push kicks back to a 30 yard Field Goal instead of  19 yarders that were never missed (never in this case is over 99%).

In 2016, 75 extra points by 36 different NFL kickers were either missed or blocked. The year before the rule change, when Extra points were 19 yard FG attempts, only 8 extra points were not made, for whatever reason,  by 37 NFL Kickers. Only 7 kickers of those 37 were NOT 100% perfect. Last year only 7 of the 36 were 100%.

Kicking Field Goals is a mental discipline, its probably 80-90% mental, the swinging of the leg and lining up is so routine, imagine how many times you think an NFL kicker has swung at a football towards the goal posts. Many theories have been brought up as to why so many NFL kickers struggled with kicking the last couple years.

Extra points were GIMMEs like a warm up screen pass for a QB in a game before going downfield. Eliminate the gimme, and now kickers have to bring their A game just for the extra point, and if they miss, it throws the rhythm off.

It has to be something to it, experienced kickers like Nick Novak, Steven Hauscha, Dan Carpenter, and several others could not even crack the 90% mark, Carpenter not able to get into the 80s. Imaging this effect on experienced veterans like these,  on a young kid from Florida State where he was labeled the most accurate kicker ever.  One miss in his career, he was head man on campus, A pro team TRADED UP to draft him in the second round…and he missed his first kick in preseason and got booed in camp when missing more.